MUMBAI, India, May 1 -- Intellectual Property India has published a patent application (202611026064 A) filed by Dr. Vijai Shanker Verma; Dr. Anil Kumar; Dr. Laxman Bahadur Kunwar; Dr. Abhishekh Singh; Dr. Pradeep Kumar Yadav; and Manik, Gorakhpur, Uttar Pradesh, on March 5, for 'a system and method for global stability-based epidemic forecasting using an siqr model with nonlinear incidence and saturated treatment capacity.'
Inventor(s) include Dr. Vijai Shanker Verma; Dr. Anil Kumar; Dr. Laxman Bahadur Kunwar; Dr. Abhishekh Singh; Dr. Pradeep Kumar Yadav; and Manik.
The application for the patent was published on May 1, under issue no. 18/2026.
According to the abstract released by the Intellectual Property India: "The present invention discloses a computer-implemented system and method for global stability-based epidemic forecasting using an SIQR compartmental model incorporating nonlinear incidence and saturated treatment capacity constraints. The invention is particularly useful for modeling infectious disease transmission dynamics associated with outbreaks such as COVID-19 and similar communicable diseases. The system computes disease transmission behavior using a saturation-based nonlinear incidence function, evaluates limited healthcare treatment capacity through a saturated recovery model, and determines the basic reproduction number using next-generation matrix techniques. Global asymptotic stability of disease-free and endemic equilibrium states is analyzed using Lyapunov function methodology, enabling predictive outbreak control and healthcare resource optimization under realistic epidemiological conditions."
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